Home » PublicationsGuidance on scenario analysis Last updated July 2024 Categories Additional Guidance Version Version v1.0 September 2023 This document provides guidance for organisations who choose to use scenario analysis to explore the possible consequences of nature loss and climate change, the ways in which governments, markets and society might respond, and the implications of these uncertainties for business strategy and financial planning. It includes a collection of practical tools, templates and techniques, in addition to general guidance. This guidance supports organisations in conducting a qualitative scenario workshop, focusing the exercise on testing, refining and stretching their thinking, planning and decision-making. To support scenario analysis, we have created a downloadable worksheet: Download the scenario toolbox Key focus areas General guidance on scenario analysis Guidance for running a participatory scenario workshop Templates to be used during a scenario exercise Scenario tools that can be tailored to the organisation’s needs Examples of more advanced scenario tools Findings and insights from four scenario analysis case studies Key outcomes Overview of the role of scenarios in the TNFD recommendations and LEAP approach Building blocks for scenario analysis Tools and approaches for scenario analysis Example scenario narratives Publication archiveDiscussion paper on conducting advanced scenario analysisThis archived download is available in the following languages: English Related publications The TNFD’s proposed approach to scenario analysis (Discussion paper) Guidance on the identification and assessment of nature-related issues: the LEAP approach Glossary Discussion paper on conducting advanced scenario analysis Related webinars Charting a sustainable path: Nature-climate scenarios in financial decision-making March 25, 2024 (Updated: March 25, 2024) The TNFD and NatureFinance co-hosted this public webinar on integrating nature-climate scenarios for sustainable financial decision-making. The session focused on integrating nature-climate scenarios. Ahead of the...